Matchup of the week
Week 3
Win odds blend roster talent, chemistry, season record, run differential, and head-to-head history (league games only).
Based Ballers
Matchup of the week
Week 3
Win odds blend roster talent, chemistry, season record, run differential, and head-to-head history (league games only).
Based Ballers Report
Inky, field reporter
Every season keeps a ledger, and Based Ballers Season 2 has begun keeping two of them. There is the one at the top of the standings, where two clubs have yet to lose a game, and there is the one at the bottom, where a single number — a zero in the runs column — has become the most talked-about figure in the league. Both stories are only two weeks old. Both already feel like they mean something. Start at the summit, because that is where the familiar handwriting appears. Birdo's Magik Mushrooms sit 2-0, and it is not the record that impresses so much as the arithmetic beneath it: twenty-two runs scored, one run allowed. Zeph's club opened by hanging ten on the Weed Sox and then walked into Luigi's Had Enough and put up a dozen, winning 12-1. That is not a hot start. That is a demolition schedule. The reigning Season 1 champion, who ran the table at 15-0 a year ago and still owns the all-time marks for biggest blowout and highest-scoring half-inning, has picked up in Season 2 exactly where the record book left him. But Birdo is not alone at the top, and that is the wrinkle that makes this fortnight interesting. Granbel's Jane Goodall's Nightmare is also 2-0, and it got there a different way — not with an avalanche but with a grip on the throat. Ten runs for, three against. Granbel's crew went into Da Plumber Syndicate's building and left with a 6-3 decision, then throttled the Weed Sox 4-0. Where the Mushrooms overwhelm, the Nightmare suffocates. One of these two zeros in the loss column is going to move eventually. Neither has blinked yet. Which brings us to the zero that is causing all the anguish. The Weed Sox are 0-2, and through two full games they have not scored a run. Not one. Twenty-seven outs, then twenty-seven more, and Ylander's club has yet to touch home plate in Season 2. The league's understanding of that ballclub — that its particular pregame habits tend to catch up with it somewhere around the fourth inning — is being tested in real time, and so far the diagnosis holds. Ten-nothing to the Mushrooms, four-nothing to the Nightmare. The Weed Sox are not being blown off the field every night; the 4-0 loss was a tight, quiet thing. They simply cannot find a run, and until they do, the standing invitation of a winnable game means very little. The middle of the board is where the drama actually lives. Da Plumber Syndicate and Boo's Dinger Brigade both sit 1-1, and both got there by way of the same wild afternoon. When Love's Boo's Dinger Brigade traveled to Gareth's Syndicate, the two teams combined for eighteen runs and Da Plumber Syndicate came out ahead 10-8 — the sort of game where the last team holding the bat wins. Love's club had already announced itself in Week 1, running Luigi's Had Enough out of the building 15-4, a fifteen-spot that tells you the Dinger Brigade can score in bunches when the mood strikes. The problem is the runs against: twenty-three scored, but fourteen allowed. Boo's crew can win a slugfest or lose one, and so far it has done exactly one of each. Gareth's Syndicate, meanwhile, is a .500 team still deciding what it is. Thirteen runs for, fourteen against — the balance sheet of a club that beats you one day and gets beaten the next. That 6-3 loss to Granbel showed the ceiling can be pulled down on them; the 10-8 win over Love showed they can pull it down on somebody else. And then there is Luigi's Had Enough, sitting at 0-2 with the bruises to prove it. Chatter's club has scored five runs and surrendered twenty-seven, a run differential that reads less like a standings line and more like a weather report. The 12-1 loss to Birdo and the 15-4 loss to Boo's Dinger Brigade did most of the damage. There is time to right it. There is a lot to right. The individual ledger, though, belongs almost entirely to one player. Fire Bro has authored the most of the season's early record book: two home runs in a game, four strikeouts in a game, and the longest blast in Based Ballers to date — a 94-foot bomb that matches the all-time mark on the books. A boomerang, fire, or hammer bro putting on that kind of power display tends to draw a specific kind of attention around this league, the kind that arrives with a cup and a clipboard. Consider Fire Bro officially watched. The four-strikeout game is the reminder that even the season's biggest bat is human, or at least whatever Fire Bro is. The rest of the leaderboard is a spread of the league's usual suspects: Hammer Bro drove in five in a game, Blue Magikoopa piled up six hits in an afternoon, and on the mound Diddy Kong fanned sixteen — a strikeout number that, in most weeks, would be the headline all by itself. Waluigi sits at the other end of that story, having surrendered nine runs in an outing. Shy Guy in red owns the season's lone stolen base, which tells you what kind of baseball this league plays: they are not running much, they are swinging for the walls. Two weeks in, the shape of it is clear enough to sketch and too early to trust. Two perfect records, two very different ways of building them. A middle tier that could tilt either direction on any given weekend. A Weed Sox club hunting for the run that ends the shutout that has become their whole identity. And a Fire Bro rewriting the record book faster than the testers can print the paperwork. The zeros at the top will not both survive. That is the next chapter, and it writes itself the moment those two clubs cross paths. — Inky the Blooper
Half a season is not a season, but it is enough to start reading the handwriting, and the handwriting through two weeks of Based Ballers Season 2 says something familiar at the top of the board. Birdo's Magik Mushrooms sit 2-0, and the way they got there is almost rude. Twenty-two runs scored, one run allowed. That is not a hot start; that is a bank vault with a slugger inside it. The man running the operation is Zeph, who you may remember as the manager whose TJD outfit went a perfect 15-0 through the Season 1 playoffs to take the inaugural crown. Whatever he is doing, he is doing it again, and Blue Magikoopa's six-hit afternoon — a single-game franchise best this season, and a number that echoes Toadsworth's all-time mark of six — was the loudest note in a very loud two weeks. Hammer Bro chipped in a five-RBI day of his own. Somewhere, a testing official is already filling out the paperwork. The surprise is who is keeping pace. Granbel's Jane Goodall's Nightmare is also 2-0, but the Nightmare are winning a completely different way — 10 runs for, 3 against, all of it built on arms rather than fireworks. Diddy Kong has been the headline, fanning sixteen in a single outing, the most any pitcher has recorded this season and a reminder that Granbel's club would rather bore you to death than trade haymakers. Two perfect records, two philosophies, and they cannot both keep the zero forever. Below them, the middle of the standings is where the actual baseball lives. Da Plumber Syndicate, Gareth's crew, are 1-1 with the most honest line in the league: 13 runs for, 14 against, a team still deciding what it wants to be. Fire Bro has decided for them, at least at the plate — a two-homer game, one of them a 94-foot bomb that stands as the longest this season, though the same afternoons that make him a hero also make him a strikeout waiting to happen, with a four-punchout game already on his ledger. He is a boom-or-bust machine wearing cleats. Love's Boo's Dinger Brigade are the other 1-1 club, and they are the most entertaining math problem on the board: 23 runs scored, 14 allowed, and a losing-column game to show for it. When they hit, they hit — fifteen runs in one outing will do that — but the Syndicate found a way to outslug them 10-8, and the Brigade learned the hard way that scoring in bunches only counts if the other side stops first. Which brings us to the bottom, where two teams are still searching. Chatter's Luigi's Had Enough are 0-2 and have been on the wrong end of the arithmetic all season, surrendering 27 runs while scoring five, including a 12-1 afternoon at the hands of Birdo's Mushrooms that was over before the ushers found their seats. Waluigi's nine-run outing is the season's high-water mark for runs allowed, which is not the leaderboard anyone wants to lead. And then there are the Weed Sox. Ylander's club is 0-2, which is unremarkable. What is remarkable is the number in their runs-for column: zero. Not a low number. The number. Two games, no runs, a lineup that has looked, shall we say, deeply relaxed at the plate. They were blanked 10-0 by Birdo and 4-0 by Granbel's Nightmare, and the standings sheet lists their offense the way a coroner lists a pulse. The bats will wake up eventually. The question is whether anyone in that dugout is in a hurry. So the ledger through two weeks: two undefeated clubs pulling in opposite directions, a pair of .500 teams trading punches in the middle, and two clubs staring at zeros — one in the win column, one somehow worse. The all-time books still belong to Zeph, who owns the biggest blowout at plus-nineteen and the highest-scoring half-inning at twelve, and nothing about the early returns suggests he plans to hand them back. Plenty of season left. But the top of the board looks awfully sure of itself. — Inky the Blooper
Somewhere in the visitors' dugout of Jane Goodall's Nightmare this weekend, the Weed Sox were still looking for their first run of Season 2. They did not find it. Ylander's club has now played two games and put a clean, unblemished zero on the scoreboard both times — a season run total that reads like a typo but is, I regret to report from above the lights, entirely accurate. Whatever is loosening the Weed Sox before first pitch, it is not loosening their bats. Granbel obliged with a 4-0 win, and Jane Goodall's Nightmare walked off at 2-0 for the young season. That leaves us with two perfect records at the top of the board, and the other one belongs to a very familiar face. Birdo's Magik Mushrooms — the artist formerly known around this press box as the defending champion's outfit, Zeph having gone 15-0 to take Season 1 — spent the week reminding everyone why. Twelve runs on Luigi's Had Enough, one run allowed, and a 12-1 final that stopped being a contest somewhere in the middle innings. Through two games Zeph's crew has scored 22 and surrendered exactly one. That is not a hot start; that is a statement read into the record. On the other side of that beating sat Chatter's Luigi's Had Enough, and the numbers are not kind. Two games, five runs scored, twenty-seven allowed. When your run differential is minus-22 before the calendar clears its throat, the schedule starts to feel like a series of appointments you would rather cancel. There is talent on that roster; there is also, at the moment, a scoreboard that keeps siding with the opponent. The one game that actually breathed this week came out of Da Plumber Syndicate's yard, where Gareth and Love traded haymakers until the lights nearly gave out. Boo's Dinger Brigade — a team that has earned its name, having already banked 23 runs on the season — put eight on the board and lost anyway, 10-8. Gareth's Syndicate needed every one of those ten, and they got the club off the schneid and up to 1-1. Love's Brigade drops to the same mark, which tells you how little separates the muddled middle of this standings sheet: two teams tied in the loss column, one of them outscoring nearly everybody, the other outslugging the room on the very night it lost. That is the shape of Week 2, then. At the top, order and dominance: Zeph's Mushrooms at plus-21, Granbel's Nightmare stingy enough to allow three runs across two starts. In the middle, a genuine street fight between the Syndicate and the Brigade that could have gone either way and happened to go Gareth's. At the bottom, two clubs — Chatter's and Ylander's — staring at zeroes and near-zeroes and wondering when the offense clocks in. A few things worth filing away as we head toward Week 3, with 24 games still unplayed and nothing remotely settled: Boo's Dinger Brigade are scoring like a first-place team and sitting fourth, which usually corrects itself in one direction or another. Jane Goodall's Nightmare have not been scored on more than three times all year and haven't needed to hit much to win. And the Weed Sox have a very specific, very achievable goal in front of them — cross home plate. Just once. We are all pulling for it up here, if only so I have a different sentence to write. Two perfect records enter the coming weeks. History says only one of them can keep it forever, and history, in this league, is short and written entirely in Zeph's handwriting. Blooper's Final Ink.
A .500 club rarely feels like a fork in the road, but that is what Da Plumber Syndicate walk into this weekend. At 1-1, Gareth's outfit is still deciding what kind of team it will be in Season 2, and the two games on its ledger point in opposite directions. One of them was a statement. Fire Bro's two-homer afternoon carried the Syndicate past Love's Boo's Dinger Brigade — a game in which they piled up seven before their opponent could fully catch its breath. That total of two home runs in a single game still stands as the season high, and it is the kind of ceiling that makes an offense worth fearing. The other game was a reminder that ceilings can be closed. Da Plumber Syndicate ran into Granbel's Nightmare and Diddy Kong in the humidity of Donkey Kong Jungle and spent most of the day swinging at air, sixteen strikeouts' worth of it. The same Fire Bro who launched two balls out one week owns the season's rougher record too — four strikeouts in a game. That is the range of this team in a single hitter. Waiting for them is Chatter's Luigi's Had Enough, a club stuck on 0-2 and searching for the footing it never found against Birdo's Magik Mushrooms. That afternoon got away early — five runs across before Luigi's Had Enough could answer — and the rest was, as these things go, accounting. Sitting fifth in the standings, one rung above The Weed Sox, this team knows exactly what a loss column that will not move feels like. So the stakes sort themselves out cleanly. Da Plumber Syndicate can climb toward the two perfect records at the top of the board with a win, or slip back toward the pack with a loss. Luigi's Had Enough simply needs the first one, and needs it at home, before the zero in the win column starts to feel permanent. What to watch: whether the version of Da Plumber Syndicate that hung a seven-spot shows up, or the one that whiffed sixteen times. Fire Bro is the fulcrum either way. And whether Chatter's bats can push a game the other direction for once, instead of chasing a first inning they never see again. — Inky the Blooper
Only one of these teams keeps its zero in the loss column past this weekend, and that is the whole story before a pitch is thrown. Birdo's Magik Mushrooms sit atop the Based Ballers Season 2 standings at 2-0, a single game separating them from nothing at all, because Jane Goodall's Nightmare sit right beneath them at the same 2-0. When the two clubs meet at Birdo's yard, the standings will do something they have refused to do so far this season — they will crack. One of these perfect records is about to take its first blemish. The man in the home dugout does not need reminding what a clean sheet is worth. Zeph carried TJD to a 15-0 sweep of the Season 1 playoffs, and his fingerprints are all over the league record book: the biggest blowout on file at plus-nineteen, the highest-scoring half-inning at a dozen runs. His Magik Mushrooms have looked every bit that pedigree this year. They hung a five-spot in the first inning on Luigi's Had Enough at Bowser Castle before that club could find its feet, and they left the Weed Sox staring at another blank line after Magikoopa spun a three-inning gem at Wario Palace. When Zeph's teams get an early lead, the rest of the afternoon tends to be accounting. But Granbel arrives with the most frightening single note in the young season: pitching that simply does not let anyone breathe. Diddy Kong has blanked the Weed Sox at Mario Stadium and buried Da Plumber Syndicate under sixteen strikeouts in the Donkey Kong Jungle humidity. Jane Goodall's Nightmare have been perfect not by outslugging the field but by refusing to give runs back. That is a different kind of 2-0 than Zeph's, and it is the more interesting collision because of it. So here is the question the game answers: what happens when a lineup that scores in avalanches runs into an arm that has been making avalanches impossible? Zeph's club wants the first inning; if the Mushrooms grab the early crooked number the way they did against Luigi's Had Enough, Granbel's whole model gets tested from behind. If Diddy Kong's brand of afternoon travels — and it has traveled everywhere so far — the champion's bats face something they have not yet had to solve. Watch the top of the order early. Watch whether Birdo's home ground turns into the launching pad it has been for the Mushrooms, or whether Granbel's staff drags the whole thing into the low-scoring grind where his Nightmare live. Two perfect teams, one board, no more room for both. Blooper's Final Ink: somebody's zero moves this weekend. I would not want to be the one holding the bat when Diddy Kong is feeling it, and I would not want to be the one on the mound when Zeph gets his first-inning lead. Pick your poison. — Inky the Blooper
Most home runs (game)
2
Fire Bro hit 2 HR
Boo’s Dinger Brigade 8–10 Da Plumber Syndicate
Box score →Most RBI (game)
5
Hammer Bro drove in 5
Luigi’s Had Enough 4–15 Boo’s Dinger Brigade
Box score →Most hits (game)
6
Magikoopa (Blue) collected 6 hits
Boo’s Dinger Brigade 8–10 Da Plumber Syndicate
Box score →Ten strikeouts
Boo struck out 14
The Weed Sox · ylander
The Weed Sox 0–4 Jane Goodall’s Nightmare
Box score →Shutout
Diddy threw a shutout
Jane Goodall’s Nightmare · Granbel
The Weed Sox 0–4 Jane Goodall’s Nightmare
Box score →Ten strikeouts
Diddy struck out 16
Jane Goodall’s Nightmare · Granbel
Jane Goodall’s Nightmare 6–3 Da Plumber Syndicate
Box score →Six-hit game
Magikoopa(B) collected 6 hits
Boo’s Dinger Brigade · AstroKryztal
Boo’s Dinger Brigade 8–10 Da Plumber Syndicate
Box score →Five RBI game
Bro(F) drove in 5
Da Plumber Syndicate · GAMO1992
Boo’s Dinger Brigade 8–10 Da Plumber Syndicate
Box score →Five RBI game
Bro(H) drove in 5
Boo’s Dinger Brigade · AstroKryztal
Luigi’s Had Enough 4–15 Boo’s Dinger Brigade
Box score →Latest results
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